Category
opportunities
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11.18.08On overtakingAt what point do you stop following? Even after the distance grows, it is easy to focus on the same target. Continue Reading...
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09.08.08Making your brand stickpromises to find the information you are looking for. promises you everything at the lowest price promises exceptional engineering. promises the best in athletic appeal. promises usable technology. promises a source of timely and accurate information. promises rugged. promises the best coffee experience. promises luxury. promises to help the needy. promises entertainment. promises fun. Great brands are ...
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08.28.08From technology to commodityBelow is a table showing when major technologies were introduced to the public at large and how long it took them to reach 85% of US households. Technology Introduced In 85% US households Time to 85% Telephone 1875 1965 90y Electricity 1903 1945 42y Automobile 1903 1981 78y Radio 1920 1943 23y Refrigerator 1922 1951 29y Clothes Washer 1926 currently ~83% Air Conditioner 1947 2003 56y Clothes Dryer 1950 currently ~80% Dish Washer 1950 currently ~65% Color TV 1960 1981 21y Microwave 1972 ...
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08.14.08The 3 orders of businessI have a mental framework that groups businesses into three logical units. I call these orders. First order businesses are the foundation of the economy. They satisfy the most basic of needs. These businesses include the agriculture, mining, and the textiles industries. They are very important as they free the majority of the population to create the higher order businesses. Through decades of operation, their logistics are highly efficient and often very complex. The growing global population creates true demand for first order goods meaning that top first order businesses are both very lucrative and secure. Second order ...
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08.04.08Painters and CowsI see a world that is inhabited by two classes of people.* Painters are not happy with the world as it is. Culture as we know it is the collection of ideas from the creators of the past and present. Creators that did and do form the bulk of a our experiences. Painters see that something is missing. From the Ray Krocs that altered our diets and the Thomas Edisons that extended our days, to the Frances Scott Keyes that wrote songs we know by heart and Dave Weiners that realized content should be free, they each realized something could be ...
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07.21.0820 is the new 40Headlines about "college students" and "twenty somethings" finding early success no longer impress me. Not only has the Internet made age irrelevant, but it has debased experience as a key indicator of success. The Internet has exponentially increased the opportunities available for those whom are agile and fast enough to react to the ever broadening scope of opportunity. That said, why don't we expect that most people who change the world to be young, uncommitted, and industrial? After all, that is an apt description of most hungry and frugal 20 year old college students I know. ...
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07.01.08Mobile sales 8x PC sales, both hard businesses without effortStaggering numbers from Jonathan Yarmis' interview on TechTicker today: PC market 200M units shipped per year sales growth of 9-11% year-over-year Now compare that to: Mobile market 1.6B units shipped last year sales growth of 20% year-over-year average device life-cycle of 21 months which means the device install base is completely cycled every 2 years The strong growth hasn't translated into bottom line profits for mobile incumbents. In fact, most mobile manufacturers have been hammered (see NOK ...
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06.05.08The cycle of progressWhile striving for something: Usually the start is the hardest part.
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04.08.08The Mobile Web is (currently) boringHave a look at the top 10 mobile sites for February 2008: [via MarketingCharts] Just a bunch of ring tone offerings and service provider distribution hubs. If you are looking for the next big opportunity, mobile looks wide open.
recent posts
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- P(recession) = 1, P(American is shopper) = 1
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